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I built an open-source market maker for prediction markets (Polymarket/CLOB) — here's how it works

Harrier 2026年06月19日 23:16 5 次阅读 来源:Dev.to

Hey everyone, I've been deep in prediction market infrastructure for a while and just open-sourced a market maker bot designed for CLOB-based prediction markets like Polymarket. What it does: Quotes both sides of a binary market automatically Adjusts spreads based on order book depth and volatility Manages inventory risk to avoid getting stuck on the wrong side of a resolved market Built on top of Polymarket's CLOB API with Gnosis Safe / EOA wallet support on Polygon The core challenge with prediction markets vs. regular markets: Normal market making is about capturing spread. Prediction markets add a brutal edge case — resolution risk. If you're holding YES at 0.6 and the market resolves NO, you're not just down on the spread, you're down the full position. So the bot has to: Track time-to-resolution and widen spreads as resolution approaches Reduce inventory exposure on markets with high directional momentum Use FAK orders to avoid resting limit orders too long near resolution Stack: Rust Polymarket CLOB API Polygon (USDC settlement) SQLite for order state tracking What's next: Dynamic spread model based on implied volatility Multi-market portfolio rebalancing Better signal integration (news feeds, oracle data) GitHub: https://github.com/HarrierOnChain/Prediction-Markets-Trading-Bot-Toolkits Happy to answer questions on the architecture, risk model, or anything CLOB-related. Always looking for feedback from others building in this space.

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