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Building a Real-Time World Cup 2026 Bracket Predictor with Vanilla JS and GitHub Actions

Ryo Kurita 2026年06月25日 05:06 3 次阅读 来源:Dev.to

Introduction With the World Cup 2026 group stage reaching its climax, football fans worldwide are speculating about who will make it to the finals. To make this experience interactive, I built a fully dynamic World Cup 2026 Bracket Simulator. Instead of just letting users click and choose winners, this app dynamically calculates ELO win probabilities and probabilistically generates realistic match scores (including extra time and penalties) based on team ratings. It also syncs with live match data in real-time. Live URL: https://worldcup-predict2026.github.io/champion/ Tech Stack: Vanilla JS, CSS3 (3D parallax), GitHub Actions, Python, football-data.org API Core Features & Technical Implementation ELO-Based Win Probability & Score Simulation Each team in the database is assigned an ELO-based strength rating. When a user runs the AI auto-prediction, the script calculates win probability and generates a realistic scoreline. Here is the goal roll algorithm (Poisson-like simulation) implemented in Vanilla JS: javascript function generateMatchScore(team1, team2, winner) { if (team1 === "TBD" || team2 === "TBD" || !winner) return null; const s1 = teamStrengths[team1] || 70; const s2 = teamStrengths[team2] || 70; const winnerIsTeam1 = (winner === team1); const strengthDiff = Math.abs(s1 - s2); const baseGoalExpected = 1.1; const bonusGoal = Math.min(1.8, strengthDiff / 12.0); // Goal weight based on ELO difference const rollGoals = (lambda) => { let L = Math.exp(-lambda); let k = 0; let p = 1.0; do { k++; p *= Math.random(); } while (p > L && k < 10); return k - 1; }; let gWin = 0; let gLose = 0; const r = Math.random(); if (r < 0.75) { // Regular time win (90 mins) gLose = rollGoals(baseGoalExpected); gWin = gLose + 1 + rollGoals(0.7 + bonusGoal); return winnerIsTeam1 ? ${gWin} - ${gLose} : ${gLose} - ${gWin} ; } else if (r < 0.92) { // Extra time win (AET) const normalGoals = rollGoals(baseGoalExpected); gLose = normalGoals; gWin = normalGoals + 1; return winnerIsTeam1 ?

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