The Safe Parts of Your Job Are the First to Go
The Safe Parts of Your Job Are the First to Go A junior analyst spent two years getting good at building financial models. Last month she watched a colleague produce, in ninety seconds and a sentence of plain English, the kind of model that used to take her a careful afternoon. The output was not perfect. It was good enough to be frightening, and it raised the only question that matters: what part of this was ever mine? The question has a sharper edge. The part of your work you are proudest of may have been valuable only because it used to be hard, and the hard part just got cheap. The reflexive answers are bad ones. “Humans bring creativity.” “Humans bring the human touch.” These are comfort blankets, too vague to act on. The real answer is narrower, and it comes with a catch. Human judgment survives at five specific places, all of them sitting above the task itself, and each one can be named. Naming them is the easy half. The harder half, the part almost nobody tells you, is that the same cheap generation eating the task is thinning out how many people are left to do the part that survives. The part that stays yours Map every time the work genuinely needed a person and the same shape keeps appearing. Someone has to understand what the system is actually doing before trusting it. Someone has to choose which outputs are worth keeping. Someone has to approve the actions that cannot be taken back. Someone has to hold a decision steady while the outcome is still uncertain. And someone has to decide which problems are worth solving at all. None of those is production. Every one of them is a decision about production. The analyst’s two years went into producing the model. The part that stays hers is the judgment wrapped around it: whether the model’s assumptions survive contact with reality, whether this is even the right question, whether the number is one she will stake her name on. What survives is the deciding: whether the thing is right, whether it is worth doing, a