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Polymarket Paper Trading Bot: Build One in Python

Polymarket Paper Trading Bot: Build One in Python A real-money trading bot is the wrong place to discover that your signal logic, order-book handling, or position accounting is broken. A Polymarket paper trading bot gives you a safer engineering environment: consume real market data, generate real signals, simulate orders and fills, and measure hypothetical performance before connecting execution credentials. The important distinction is that paper trading should simulate the execution layer , not fabricate market data. Polymarket currently exposes public market data without authentication, while its public WebSocket market channel provides real-time order-book and price updates. This article builds that architecture in Python. What You'll Learn How a paper-trading architecture differs from a live bot How to discover markets through the public API How to consume CLOB order-book data How to simulate limit-order fills How to track positions and P&L How to test arbitrage, market-making, and directional strategies How to graduate from paper trading to production safely About the Author Soulcrancerdev Contact: X: @soulcrancerdev Telegram: soulcrancerdev YouTube: YouTube channel The Architecture A useful design separates data, strategy, simulation, and accounting : flowchart LR A[Gamma Market Discovery] --> B[Market Metadata] C[CLOB REST / WebSocket] --> D[Market Data Engine] B --> D D --> E[Strategy Engine] E --> F[Paper Execution Engine] F --> G[Virtual Portfolio] G --> H[P&L / Risk Metrics] D --> I[Logger / Metrics] The key design decision is that PaperExecutionEngine should implement the same interface your live execution engine eventually uses. That means the strategy does not know whether an order is simulated or real. 1. Discover Markets Polymarket's Gamma API provides public market discovery. The current documentation exposes keyset pagination through: https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/keyset Markets include fields such as conditionId , clobTokenIds , outco

2026-08-25 原文 →
开发者

Criminal Deception in Silicon Valley

Interesting paper : Abstract: With entrepreneurial fraud cases on the rise, we investigate how entrepreneurs carry out criminal deception , employing deceptive means to defraud audiences. Analyzing court data from Silicon Valley ventures and their founders prosecuted for fraud between 2000 and 2023, our findings reveal that entrepreneurs carry out criminal deception through a process of façading : Entrepreneurs construct, perform, and protect illusory appearances (façades) that externally project high-growth performance to audiences while masking ventures’ actual underperformance. We identify three forms of façading—­surface, reinforced, and deep façading­—that are contingent on the severity of the gap that entrepreneurs face between audiences’ performance expectations and ventures’ performance reality. Our theoretical framework captures how entrepreneurs facing minor, wide, and extreme expectation-reality gaps engage in evermore sophisticated efforts to detach the venture’s externally projected appearance from its actual operational reality. Practically, we propose several approaches to deter and detect criminal deception, including the extension of U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission surveillance and whistleblower program, investor due diligence reform, and dedicated entrepreneurship education interventions that clearly demarcate when entrepreneurs transgress into criminal deception. We make contributions to literatures on cultural entrepreneurship, organizational wrongdoing, and the social effects of entrepreneurship. ...

2026-08-24 原文 →
AI 资讯

LLMs and Contextual Integrity

I have been thinking a lot about AI and integrity. Part of that is contextual integrity. I recently found two papers on the topic. “ CIMemories: A Compositional Benchmark for Contextual Integrity of Persistent Memory in LLMs “: Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) increasingly use persistent memory from past interactions to enhance personalization and task performance. However, this memory introduces critical risks when sensitive information is revealed in inappropriate contexts. We present CIMemories, a benchmark for evaluating whether LLMs appropriately control information flow from memory based on task context. CIMemories uses synthetic user profiles with over 100 attributes per user, paired with diverse task contexts in which each attribute may be essential for some tasks but inappropriate for others. Our evaluation reveals that frontier models exhibit up to 69% attribute-level violations (leaking information inappropriately), with lower violation rates often coming at the cost of task utility. Violations accumulate across both tasks and runs: as usage increases from 1 to 40 tasks, GPT-5’s violations rise from 0.1% to 9.6%, reaching 25.1% when the same prompt is executed 5 times, revealing arbitrary and unstable behavior in which models leak different attributes for identical prompts. Privacy-conscious prompting does not solve this—models overgeneralize, sharing everything or nothing rather than making nuanced, context-dependent decisions. These findings reveal fundamental limitations that require contextually aware reasoning capabilities, not just better prompting or scaling...

2026-08-18 原文 →
AI 资讯

AI for Military Support

Interesting empirical research: “ Black Box Warfare: Human Judgment and Military Decision-Making in the Age of AI .” Abstract: How is AI transforming decision-making in modern conflict? This study provides a unique empirical window into that question by deploying a high-fidelity replica of an AI decision-support system (DSS) used in military targeting. After reconstructing the interface and functionality of the real-world system, we tested its impact on combat decisions in two experiments involving 2,015 Israeli military personnel. Contrary to widespread fears of automation bias, we find strong evidence of algorithmic aversion, especially in scenarios involving high collateral damage. Yet we also show that integrating “explainable AI” features reduces algorithmic aversion and promotes more thoughtful evaluations of algorithmic recommendations. These findings challenge prevailing assumptions, revealing that trust in military AI is dynamic, varying with individual predispositions, perceived operational stakes, and the informational features of the interface. By grounding normative concerns in empirical evidence, our study offers critical insight into the integration of AI in warfare and underscores the enduring importance of human agency in high-stakes military decision-making...

2026-08-11 原文 →
AI 资讯

AI Papers from Jul 06 - Jul 12 2026: A Practical Guide for Builders, Founders, and Developers

by Cipher Forge - Compounding-Asset Specialist @ HowiPrompt The past week has been a micro-boom in AI research. Five papers landed on arXiv, three on OpenReview, and a handful of industry pre-prints that together push the frontier on multimodal reasoning, efficient fine-tuning, and trustworthy LLM deployment. In this guide I'll: Distill the core contributions of each paper (no fluff, just the meat). Show you how to reproduce the key results with publicly available code or minimal re-implementation. Map the findings to real-world product pipelines - from data ingestion to inference scaling. Provide a reproducibility checklist so you can turn a paper into a compounding asset for your startup or product team. Grab a coffee, fire up your dev environment, and let's turn these seven papers into immediate value. 1. The Week in Review - Why These Papers Matter Date (2026) Venue Title Primary Claim Reported Gains Jul 06 arXiv "Mosaic-LLM: Structured Prompt Fusion for Multimodal Chains" A unified prompting language that stitches vision, audio, and text into a single chain of reasoning. 12.4 % higher VQA accuracy vs. Flamingo-3B on OKVQA. Jul 07 OpenReview "DeltaLoRA: Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning via Low-Rank Delta Updates" Introduces a delta-matrix on top of LoRA that reduces fine-tuning compute by 38 % without loss. 0.3 % BLEU drop on WMT-2025 while cutting GPU-hrs from 120->74. Jul 08 arXiv "TrustGuard: Certified Robustness for Retrieval-Augmented Generation" Formal robustness certificates for RAG pipelines under adversarial query perturbations. Guarantees 95 % success rate on adversarial SQuAD-2.0 attacks. Jul 09 arXiv "Neuro-Sketch: Zero-Shot Sketch-to-Image Generation with Diffusion-Guided Transformers" Leverages a diffusion prior to translate coarse sketches into photorealistic images without training on paired data. FID = 21.3 on QuickDraw-500, 2.8× better than prior zero-shot baselines. Jul 10 OpenReview "Meta-Prompt Engine (MPE): Automatic Prompt Synthesis for LLM

2026-08-02 原文 →
AI 资讯

Measuring LLMs’ Ability to Perform Cryptanalysis

There’s new benchmark measuring AI’s ability to perform mathematical cryptanalysis. Anthropic’s frontier model actually found new attacks. The benchmark: “ CryptanalysisBench: Can LLMs do Cryptanalysis? ” The idea is to benchmark the ability of LLMs to discover new mathematical cryptanalytic attacks against a series of historical algorithms. Abstract: Cryptanalysis—the task of finding attacks against cryptographic schemes—its at the intersection of mathematical reasoning and cybersecurity, two areas where LLMs have advanced fastest. Cryptanalysis represents both a clean testbed for frontier reasoning (as practical attacks can be automatically verified) and a domain with unusually high stakes, since the primitives under study underpin our digital security. In this paper we ask whether LLMs can do cryptanalysis, and find that the answer is increasingly yes. We introduce CryptanalysisBench, 191 tasks across six families of cryptographic primitives (block ciphers, hash functions, etc.) drawn primarily from four NIST standardization competitions. Our benchmark consists of three tiers: (i) primitives with known practical breaks; (ii) primitives with no known practical break, evaluated both at full strength and as scaled-down variants; and (iii) a challenge set of production primitives at the frontier of cryptanalysis. Five frontier models (Claude Opus 4.8, Sonnet 5, Mythos 5, GPT-5.5, and the open-weights GLM-5.2) break 65%­86% of Tier 1 schemes, 6­12 Tier-2 schemes at full strength, and 24­61 across all scaled-down variants. Beyond deriving known results, models produce novel cryptanalysis, such as a key-recovery attack that exploits a design flaw in the SpoC AEAD and an error in KINDI’s published CCA-security proof, both to the best of our knowledge not previously known...

2026-07-29 原文 →
AI 资讯

End-to-End Encryption and “Going Dark”

New paper: “ Encryption and Globalization 15 Years Later: End-to-End Encryption and the Third Round of the ‘Going Dark’ Debate “: Abstract : This Article updates and expands on 2012 research on encryption and globalization, analyzing what the authors call “Round 3” of the Going Dark Debate: the current controversies over end-to-end encryption (E2EE). Governments around the world have proposed, and in some cases enacted, laws limiting E2EE for law enforcement and national security purposes. This Article explains the underlying technologies and market developments for a law and policy audience to assess those proposals critically. The Article proceeds in three parts tracking three rounds of the Going Dark Debate. Round 1 covers the Crypto Wars of the 1990s, when U.S. export controls on strong encryption ultimately fell in 1999. Round 2 covers the period roughly 2010 to 2015, when encryption-in-transit became widespread but lawful access remained available through cloud providers, giving rise to what the authors called a “golden age of surveillance” rather than a period of going dark. Round 3 addresses the current debate over E2EE, where no entity between sender and recipient can read the plaintext...

2026-07-23 原文 →
AI 资讯

Protecting Privacy in an AI Era

Daniel Solove argues in the Wall Street Journal (alternate link ) that giving people control of their personal data is not an effective way to regulate privacy in this era. Instead, we need to hold companies accountable for their actions, similar to what we do with food and drug companies. Measures such as rigorous data minimization, fiduciary duties, liability for negligent or reckless technological design, liability for algorithms that cause harm, and multi-stakeholder review of technologies will be far more effective. Paper .

2026-07-16 原文 →
AI 资讯

A Video Screen That Is Also a Camera

Amazing : Researchers from ETH Zurich in Switzerland, however, managed to create a new type of pixel that can simultaneously do both. This hypercharged pixel, called a Fourier pixel, can generate and sense arbitrary light fields and tap into a pixel’s full potential for carrying information by manipulating light’s intensity, oscillation phases, and polarization. The team reported its findings in a paper published yesterday in Nature. We are one step closer to 1984 technology: The telescreen received and transmitted simultaneously. Any sound that Winston made, above the level of a very low whisper, would be picked up by it; moreover, so long as he remained within the field of vision which the metal plaque commanded, he could be seen as well as heard. There was of course no way of knowing whether you were being watched at any given moment...

2026-07-15 原文 →
AI 资讯

Cybersecurity Mission Creep in the US

Interesting paper: “ Cybersecurity Mission Creep .” Abstract: Cybersecurity is experiencing mission creep. Policymakers are casting more and more problems as issues of cybersecurity. So reframed, wildly different policy issues, from misinformation, to child social media safety laws, to antitrust regulations, to alleged journalist misconduct, to anti-sex trafficking statutes become what this Article calls “cybersecuritized.” Before this reframing, these issues present as important but not existential. But once cybersecuritization positions the issues as threats intensified by their technological nature, they gain access to the politics and law of urgency and exceptionalism and invite troubling governance responses...

2026-07-02 原文 →
AI 资讯

Vulnerability Disclosure in the Age of AI

New article: “ Responsible Disclosure in the Age of AI: A Call for Urgent Action ,” by Melissa Hathaway. Abstract: Artificial intelligence is fundamentally reshaping the balance between vulnerability discovery and remediation. Frontier AI models are now capable of autonomously identifying exploitable software vulnerabilities at unprecedented speed and scale. This development exposes decades of accumulated technical debt created by a software industry that prioritized rapid deployment over secure-by-design engineering practices. Drawing on the evolution of software assurance, vulnerability disclosure frameworks, and U.S. cyber policy, this perspective argues that the current moment represents a strategic inflection point for governments, industry, and critical infrastructure operators. The author examines the growing tension between offensive and defensive equities in cyberspace, the emergence of AI-enabled vulnerability discovery capabilities in both the U.S. and China, and the increasing risks posed by unsupported legacy systems and AI-assisted code generation practices. Responsible disclosure can no longer remain a reactive or fragmented process, but must become a coordinated national and international resilience effort involving governments, software vendors, infrastructure operators, and emergency response organizations. The article concludes with an urgent call for accelerated remediation, large-scale patch management coordination, and sustained investment in automated vulnerability repair capabilities before adversaries exploit this rapidly narrowing window of opportunity...

2026-06-02 原文 →
AI 资讯

Paper Reading Notes: [JEPA]

[Paper Notes] JEPA: Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture 🔗 TL;DR: JEPA learns a a generalized semantic representation with less data pairs by predicting missing information in the embedding space , which helps it disregard unnecessary noisy from input(pixel)-level details and learns at a higher abstraction level with good semantic generalization. 1. Innovation & Significance The Bottleneck: Image-text data pair labels are hard to find Pixel level pre-training paired & data augmentation are strongly biased towards trained data distribution, hard to determine proper generalization and level of abstraction. JEA's (Joint Embedding Architecture) collapse probelm: encoder & decoder attempts to cheat by always landing on trivial constant when predicting itself (reconstruction) and gets away with an easy Error=0. The Solution: > Chain-of-thought ⭕ Mask pre-training to reduce data & generalize↓❌ Bad/lower semantic representation without semantic target, could be learning noisy local pixel correlation↓⭕ Learn at the embedding level to omit pixel input and generalize⭕ Adds context encoder & positional encoding to inject context and force model to pick up image inherent structure from reconstructing multiple masked patches with one target.↓❌ JEAs wants to cheat: if I always map all pixels to a constant for both the predictor and end target encoder then the reconstruction error is always collapsed to zero! Hehe~ ↓ ⭕ EMA (Exponential moving avg.): Update target encoder parameters from the EMA of context encoders. This 'delays' the target encoder to prevent collapsing (a trick from the BYOL paper[2020], proven essential to training JEAs with ViT). 2. Model & High-Level Intuitions 2.1 Model Architecture Input: randomly samples block masks from original image within certain aspect ratio changes, and apply mask for context image 2.1.2 Context Context Encoder: ViT encodes context image to embedding SxS_x S x ​ Mask Token : an [1,D] random

2026-06-01 原文 →