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Can a Cheap Model Beat a Frontier Model? Rebuilding Recursive Language Models with Codex

Large language models have enormous context windows now. That does not mean they use all of that context reliably. As prompts grow, models can miss details, lose track of relationships, or produce plausible summaries instead of doing the exhaustive work a question requires. The Recursive Language Models (RLM) paper proposes a different interface: keep the large context outside the model, expose it as a variable in a persistent programming environment, and let the model inspect, partition, and recursively query smaller pieces. We rebuilt that method with an unusual constraint: no OPENAI_API_KEY ; Codex CLI as the model backend; gpt-5.4-mini for both the RLM root and every subcall; a direct frontier model only as a separate baseline. The result was encouraging, expensive, and more nuanced than “cheap model equals frontier model.” What an RLM changes A normal model call looks roughly like this: large prompt -> model -> answer An RLM instead gives the root model metadata about the input and a Python REPL containing the real context: question | root model | persistent REPL holding the context |-- inspect and search with code |-- split context into useful chunks |-- call smaller LMs over those chunks |-- validate and aggregate results `-- return the final answer The important detail is that the root model does not need to carry every document, record, tool result, and partial answer in its own context window. Large intermediate values can remain in REPL variables. Subcalls receive focused, locally understandable tasks. That makes RLM less like a bigger prompt and more like an out-of-core data-processing system whose semantic operator happens to be a language model. What we actually tested We used an OOLONG trec_coarse validation example from the protocol described in the RLM work. The input was a 308,367-character context containing 3,182 general-knowledge questions. Each question implicitly belonged to one of six answer types: numeric value entity human being location ab

2026-08-09 原文 →
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ECCV workshop, camera ready instructions? [D]

Does anyone have any idea about the instructions for the camera ready at workshops? The deadline is August 15, but there are no indications and workshop organizers know nothing about that.. Some workshops have enabled the upload of camera ready PDF on openreview, but what about copyright form and latex source files? submitted by /u/rokk07 [link] [留言]

2026-08-09 原文 →
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You're Not Comparing Models. You're Comparing Contracts.

You're Not Comparing Models. You're Comparing Contracts. Two teams publish scores on the same agent benchmark. One lands in the low sixties. The other clears seventy. A procurement team reads the spread and makes a call. What they do not see: both teams may be running the same model. They did not need to change the weights for the gap to appear. The spread can come from scaffold alone. One team wrapped the model in a harness with better retries. Different tool defaults. A planner step the other team had skipped. None of that appears on the leaderboard. The comparison that drove the decision was not between two agents. It was between two contracts. There Is No Benchmark The mistake hiding behind this story is a category error. People talk about agent benchmarks as if they measure a thing called “the model.” They do not. They measure a coupled system. The model is one component. The rest is a stack of protocol decisions that are almost never disclosed and almost always matter. The score is the output of that stack. Change any layer and you change what the number means. Recent research on agent evaluation has named those layers explicitly. There are at least seven. Deployment regime. Observation channel. Harness and scaffold. Metric and action. Configured evaluator. Grader protocol. Audit bundle. Each is a contract. Each is negotiable. And each can silently change the verdict while the headline looks the same. That is what a benchmark actually is. Not a measurement of a model. A measurement of an entire testing contract, of which the model is one slot. There is structural reason the seven layers are the seven layers. They cluster into three corners that show up in almost every published agent-evaluation failure. What the model is rewarded for. How that reward is optimised. And how the test contract differs from production. Once you hold those three corners in view, the seven-layer stack stops feeling like a checklist and starts behaving like the actual shape of what is

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

Your Tools Got Powerful. Get Boring.

Your Tools Got Powerful. Get Boring. Subscribe now The bored trader beats the machine On one side of the trade sits a market-making engine that represents the genuine state of the art: Hawkes processes modelling order arrivals, Kyle’s lambda pricing the impact of each fill, Avellaneda-Stoikov inventory control balancing the book in real time. Years of mathematics, running on hardware that did not exist a decade ago. On the other side is a momentum trader whose entire system is price, volume, and three moving averages. He sits in cash most of the year doing nothing, waiting for a setup he could describe to you in a sentence. His stack is deliberately primitive. His edge is patience and the discipline to follow his own rules when they are boring and to sit out when they are silent. Over a full market cycle, the boring one is more likely to still be standing. This is uncomfortable, because it runs against an intuition almost everyone shares: better tools should let you run better, more sophisticated strategies. More compute, more data, more powerful models, therefore more elaborate approaches and better results. It feels obviously true. It is the logic behind most of what gets built, bought, and bragged about. It is also, across domain after domain, wrong. And the interesting part is the shape of the curve. The gap widens as the tools get stronger Here is the pattern the most successful practitioners keep seeing, whether they are trading, building software, learning, or shipping products. Powerful tools do not pay off when you point them at more complex strategies. They pay off when you point them at simple strategies and execute those faster, more consistently, and with less drift than anyone else. More power applied to a simple strategy compounds. The same power applied to a complex one mostly buys you more ways to be wrong. Sit with the second half of that, because it is the part people miss. A sophisticated strategy is not free. Every additional layer needs to be s

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

Your AI Agent Stack Is Solving The Wrong Problem

Your AI Agent Stack Is Solving The Wrong Problem The setup everyone is sharing Which MCP servers to install. Which skills to keep in your repo. Which agent framework to use. How to write your AGENTS.md . How to split one agent into researcher, planner, coder, and reviewer. How to wire Slack, GitHub, Notion, Postgres, Stripe, your calendar, and your file system into one increasingly capable loop. Some of that advice is useful. It is also aimed at the wrong layer. What becomes real after the agent uses a tool matters more than whether it can reach the tool. Can it read the customer record, or change it? Can it draft the refund, or issue it? Can it open a pull request, or merge it? Can it propose the vendor response, or send it under the company name? Once an agent can act through tools, the real system is no longer the model. The real system is the contract stack around the model. That is the part most setup guides skip. Access is reach. Agency is permissioned action. Imagine the demo. The agent can read Slack. It can search email. It can query the CRM. It can open GitHub issues, check billing records, browse docs, edit a spreadsheet, draft a customer reply, and call three internal APIs. Everyone in the room calls it powerful. That is the first mistake. The agent has reach. It does not yet have governed agency. Access tells you what the agent can touch. Agency tells you what the agent is authorised to decide, under which conditions, with what proof, and with what consequence after failure. That distinction sounds small until the first bad run. A read-only research assistant can waste time. An agent with billing access can create obligations. An agent with email access can speak for the company. An agent with deployment access can turn a wrong inference into infrastructure. More tools do not automatically make the agent more agentic. More tools expand the surface on which judgement has to be engineered. The tool stack is visible. The contract stack is load-bearing. The

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

Three Hidden Bottlenecks the AI Buildout Has Already Moved Past GPUs

Three Hidden Bottlenecks the AI Buildout Has Already Moved Past GPUs Bloom Energy reported Q1 2026 revenue of $751 million. That number was 130 percent higher than the prior year, 42 percent above consensus, and triggered a full-year guidance raise to $3.6 billion 1. Most of the post-earnings coverage read the print as a fuel cell company finally turning operationally profitable. The print is not a fuel cell story. It is the canonical evidence that the AI infrastructure bottleneck has migrated past compute. For two years the consensus model for AI capex has anchored on GPU shipments. NVIDIA, AMD, the hyperscaler capex disclosures, the analyst models all priced compute as the load-bearing constraint. The reasoning was straightforward: training runs scaled, GPU clusters grew from 5,000 units to 50,000 to 100,000, and the company that supplied the silicon owned the bottleneck. The reasoning was correct in 2023. It became incomplete in 2024. By 2026 it has become a rear-view mirror. The analyst models that price AI on GPU shipments are not wrong about GPUs being important. They are wrong about GPUs being scarce. The supply-side data has been telling a different story for three quarters now, and Bloom Energy’s print is the most recent confirmation. The bottleneck moved. It always does. The binding constraint never disappears. It only migrates to the next layer. The question that matters now is which layer the binding constraint has migrated to. Three layers have evidence pointing at them, none of which are GPUs, and the layers compose into a single observation about where AI capex goes once the compute layer has been solved. The first layer: power, and the 128-week wait Behind every large GPU cluster sits a power-delivery infrastructure that takes longer to build than the cluster itself. Power transformers, the equipment that steps utility-scale voltage down to data-centre-usable voltage, have 80 to 128 week lead times right now 2. Cleveland-Cliffs is the only domestic U

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

The Safe Parts of Your Job Are the First to Go

The Safe Parts of Your Job Are the First to Go A junior analyst spent two years getting good at building financial models. Last month she watched a colleague produce, in ninety seconds and a sentence of plain English, the kind of model that used to take her a careful afternoon. The output was not perfect. It was good enough to be frightening, and it raised the only question that matters: what part of this was ever mine? The question has a sharper edge. The part of your work you are proudest of may have been valuable only because it used to be hard, and the hard part just got cheap. The reflexive answers are bad ones. “Humans bring creativity.” “Humans bring the human touch.” These are comfort blankets, too vague to act on. The real answer is narrower, and it comes with a catch. Human judgment survives at five specific places, all of them sitting above the task itself, and each one can be named. Naming them is the easy half. The harder half, the part almost nobody tells you, is that the same cheap generation eating the task is thinning out how many people are left to do the part that survives. The part that stays yours Map every time the work genuinely needed a person and the same shape keeps appearing. Someone has to understand what the system is actually doing before trusting it. Someone has to choose which outputs are worth keeping. Someone has to approve the actions that cannot be taken back. Someone has to hold a decision steady while the outcome is still uncertain. And someone has to decide which problems are worth solving at all. None of those is production. Every one of them is a decision about production. The analyst’s two years went into producing the model. The part that stays hers is the judgment wrapped around it: whether the model’s assumptions survive contact with reality, whether this is even the right question, whether the number is one she will stake her name on. What survives is the deciding: whether the thing is right, whether it is worth doing, a

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

The Other Half of Compute

The Other Half of Compute xAI stood up its first 100,000 GPUs in Memphis in 122 days. It doubled that in another 92. By early 2026 the site, Colossus, held around 555,000 of them, building toward two gigawatts of power, for a reported 18 billion dollars. 1 Two sophisticated people can look at that number and reach opposite conclusions. Jensen Huang’s view is that the only real risk is underspending. He puts the buildout at a trillion dollars and counting, and argues the company that holds back capacity loses the decade. 2 Dario Amodei and Ray Dalio sit on the other side. Amodei has said it can be rational not to buy unlimited compute, because the revenue to justify it may arrive on a timeline that bankrupts whoever guessed wrong. Dalio keeps making a narrower point: a technology can succeed completely and still ruin the people who financed it. 3 Same buildout. Same dollar figure. One camp calls it the obvious move of the decade and the other calls it the setup for a wipeout. They are not disagreeing about the facts. They are reading the same number and the number is the problem. What 18 billion dollars buys Every token a model produces runs down a physical path. Electricity has to be generated, moved across a grid, and stepped down through transformers to a voltage a data centre can use. Chips have to be fabricated at advanced nodes, which in practice means TSMC and a single supplier of the lithography machines that make the process possible. The chips have to be wired together with optical interconnect, assembled into racks, and kept cold. None of those layers move at the same speed, and the slowest one always sets the schedule. For four years the slowest layer kept changing. In 2022 the constraint was GPUs themselves. In 2023 it was the high-bandwidth memory stacked next to them. In 2024 it was the advanced packaging that bonds the two together. By 2025 it was photonics, the lasers and transceivers that move data between racks. By 2026 it had reached power and the

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

Noise-aware training for analog hardware: accuracy collapses at a threshold rather than degrading smoothly [D]

Analog in-memory compute is getting attention again as a way around the energy cost of moving weights between memory and compute. The recurring objection is noise, since analog cells have real variation and you can't refresh your way out of it like you can with digital. I wanted to see the shape of the degradation curve rather than reason about it abstractly, so I ran a simple experiment: train a network normally, then evaluate under increasing weight noise. The curve isn't smooth. Accuracy is stable up to a point, then drops hard: 83%, 64%, then essentially random. More like a threshold than a proportional decrease. Retraining with noise injected during training (so the optimizer finds flatter minima, presumably) shifts that threshold substantially. 61% versus 39% at matched noise. What I'd like to hear from this sub: is the flat-minima explanation the right framing here, or is something else driving the gap? And is there work on optimizing directly for noise robustness rather than just injecting noise and hoping, something closer to an explicit sharpness penalty targeted at the hardware's actual noise profile? Code and figures in the writeup: https://towardsdatascience.com/analog-ai-is-back-can-it-survive-its-own-noise/ submitted by /u/Georgiou1226 [link] [留言]

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

DeepSeek's Flash outpaced its own flagship. The upgrade was post-training, not parameters.

DeepSeek shipped V4-Flash-0731 last week — same 284B parameter architecture as the preview, same 13B activated parameters per token, MIT licensed, open weights on HuggingFace. No architecture changes. No bigger model. It now outperforms V4-Pro-Preview on several agent benchmarks. "We've massively upgraded its Agent capabilities — benchmark scores are now far surpassing the V4-Pro-Preview." That's what makes this release interesting. Not the model. The method. What actually changed Nothing in the architecture. DeepSeek says the gains came entirely from additional post-training. The model stayed at 284B total parameters with 13B activated per token — compared to V4-Pro's 1.6 trillion total and 49B activated. For anyone running agents at scale, that activated-parameter gap matters. A lot. Inference cost scales with activated parameters, not total parameters. Flash is running at roughly a quarter the activation cost of Pro, and it's now beating Pro on agent tasks. Reported benchmarks: 82.7 on Terminal-Bench 2.1, 54.4 on DeepSWE, 70.3 on Toolathlon-Verified. Independent testing by Artificial Analysis put Terminal-Bench at 79% — a gap worth noting. The internal numbers haven't all been independently verified yet, so treat them as directional rather than definitive. Why post-training is the story The "bigger = better" assumption has been running most AI roadmaps for three years. DeepSeek is adding to a short but growing list of counter-evidence: meaningful performance gains extracted from an existing model through better training signal, not more parameters. If the results hold under independent verification, it suggests frontier-level agent performance may be more achievable at smaller scale than the industry assumed — which has obvious implications for cost, on-prem deployment, and the economics of running agents in production. What ships with it MIT license — full self-hosting rights, no API dependency Responses API support — compatible with agent and multi-step workflo

2026-08-09 原文 →
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[R] Generative design of novel bacteriophages with genome language models [R]

Genome language models have emerged as a promising strategy for designing biological systems, but their ability to generate functional sequences at the scale of whole genomes has remained untested. Here, we report the first generative design of viable bacteriophage genomes. We leveraged frontier genome language models, Evo 1 and Evo 2, to generate whole-genome sequences with realistic genetic architectures and desirable host tropism, using the lytic phage ΦX174 as our design template. Experimental testing of AI-generated genomes yielded 16 viable phages with substantial evolutionary novelty. submitted by /u/moschles [link] [留言]

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

Local LLMs in 2026: What Actually Runs Well on a Laptop Now

Two years ago, "run a language model locally" meant a weekend of compiling, a graveyard of CUDA errors, and a model that answered like it had a concussion. In 2026, you can install one tool, type one command, and have a genuinely useful assistant running on a laptop with no internet connection. Here's an honest map of what works, what doesn't, and where the sharp edges still are. Why bother running locally at all Three reasons keep pulling developers back to local inference: Privacy. The prompt never leaves your machine. For code you can't paste into a cloud box, or personal data, that's non-negotiable. Cost and offline. No per-token bill, no rate limits, and it works on a plane. Latency and control. No network round-trip, and you pin the exact model version forever — no silent upgrades changing your outputs. The catch has always been quality-per-watt. That's the number that moved. The hardware tiers, honestly 8 GB RAM / integrated GPU: You can run 3–4B parameter models at 4-bit quantization. Good for autocomplete, summarizing, simple Q&A. Don't expect deep reasoning. 16 GB RAM: The sweet spot for most developers. 7–9B models run comfortably and are genuinely helpful for coding assistance and drafting. 32 GB+ or a discrete GPU with 16–24 GB VRAM: Now you're running 20–30B models, or bigger models at aggressive quantization, with real reasoning ability. Apple Silicon (unified memory): Punches above its weight. A machine with 32–64 GB of unified memory runs models that would need an expensive discrete GPU on other platforms, because the CPU and GPU share the same memory pool. Quantization: the trick that makes it possible The reason a 7B model fits in 16 GB is quantization — storing weights at 4 bits instead of 16. The common format you'll see is GGUF, and the common recipe is 4-bit (often labeled Q4). The quality loss from full precision to 4-bit is surprisingly small for most tasks, while the memory savings are 4x. Below 4-bit (2–3 bit) the model starts to degrade n

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

Default-to-Flagship Is Now a Cost Bug: Tiered Model Routing for Agentic Workloads

For two years the reflex was simple: reach for the biggest model you can afford and call it a day. In 2026 that reflex quietly became a bug in your cost model. The clearest signal came this summer, when a smaller, cheaper "flash"-tier model started edging out its own flagship sibling on the workload developers care about most — multi-step agentic coding — at a fraction of the price. When the fast tier wins the hard benchmark, "always use the flagship" stops being a safe default and starts being waste. Here's how to fix it without turning your stack into a science project. Why the reflex is expensive Agent workloads are not one big call. A single task fans out into dozens of small ones: planning, tool selection, argument formatting, summarizing a file, deciding whether to continue. Most of those steps are easy . Routing every one of them through a frontier model is like taking a helicopter to the corner store — it works, but you are paying helicopter prices for a walk. The trap is that the cost is invisible per call and enormous in aggregate. You never see the moment you overpaid; you just see the invoice. The three-tier ladder Think in tiers, not models: Cheap/fast tier — classification, extraction, short rewrites, routing decisions, "is this done?" checks. Most steps live here. Mid tier — normal reasoning, code edits, tool use with moderate context. Flagship tier — genuinely hard reasoning, long-context synthesis, the step where a wrong answer poisons everything downstream. The goal is to keep the flagship tier for the 5–15% of steps that actually need it, and let the cheap tier carry the volume. How to decide the tier per request Two mechanisms, used together: Static heuristics for the obvious cases. Short prompt + structured output + low stakes → cheap tier. Anything touching a large context window or a irreversible action → escalate. Eval-gated escalation for everything else. Start at the cheap tier, and only promote to a bigger model when your evals prove the c

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

Measuring diffusion video performance on a MacBook: one speedup and a large gap

Last month, I published a benchmark showing a 1.125× speedup from block-residual caching on 4-bit FLUX . The main lesson was not the multiplier. It was that my original quality metrics had been measuring the wrong thing, and that acceleration claims often combine speed, trajectory preservation, and perceptual quality into one number. For the follow-up, I chose a stricter target: real-time autoregressive diffusion video on an Apple M5 Max , with the definition of "real time" frozen before results were visible. The tested configuration did not meet that target. The fastest claim-eligible result was 1.418 native generated frames per second , compared with a 16 FPS target. That is an 11.28× gap . I am publishing the result because the measured bottleneck, one systems improvement, and two rejected hypotheses are useful even without a real-time result. The evidence can be checked from a repository checkout: git clone https://github.com/kkjcodes/liveframe cd liveframe python -m pip install liveframe liveframe verify \ artifacts/liveframe-publication-claims.v1.json \ --artifacts-root . liveframe recompute \ artifacts/liveframe-publication-claims.v1.json The setup LiveFrame evaluates Wan2.1-T2V-1.3B-based causal video models across NVIDIA H100 CUDA and Apple M5 Max MLX/Metal. The experiments include: Causal Forcing++ for the clean M5 performance fixture Rolling Forcing for the CUDA-to-MLX portability study Frame-wise Causal Forcing++ for the H100 cache-reuse experiment The clean M5 fixture produces 81 pixel frames at 480×832, corresponding to 5.06 seconds at the model's native 16 FPS. Before holdout results were visible, the relevant protocols froze their prompts, seeds, content strata, horizons, thresholds, aggregation rules, and stop rules. For the cross-runtime experiment, stochastic inputs were serialized once as BF16 tensors. CUDA and MLX consumed byte-identical tensors rather than relying on nominally matching random seeds. LiveFrame separates four claim layers: Numeri

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

73 NeurIPS workshops, and not a single one on Causality [R]

Is this it for Causal Inference? Looks like the field continues to be of interest only at UAI/AISTATS/CLeaR. All good venues, but LLMs/Agents/etc seem to have eaten much of the lunch of several other subfields at the top 3 conferences. God help us all. **p.s.** the list: https://danyaljj.github.io/neurips2026-workshops/ submitted by /u/Beautiful_Baker_2233 [link] [留言]

2026-08-09 原文 →
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NeurIPS AI Assisted Review authors/reviewers? [D]

Out of curiosity, if you were a reviewer or author, how did the review period go? For me, it was weird, because I gave reviews with specific details (what specifically could have been better, how to fix it), but realized other reviewers gave similar superficial reviews. Even the paper which was a control for me (no LLM), I gave specific comments, but other reviewers focused on minor things. During the discussion period for one paper, one reviewer broke the double blindness condition, and gave specific examples of what the LLM gave and justified their reject…..but they didn’t even state that in their initial review (nor engaged with the author rebuttals). There was no also no sense of: “author said this was unclear, check with the LLM to see what’s the issue” For one of my own papers, we had great scores for originality and significance, but had low scores for clarity, with at least two reviewers finding difficulty understanding established notation and concepts, and I’m wondering whether it would have been better to break the double blindness and said: look, the point of an LLM assisted review is that if you don’t even know this material, you can ask it questions, like if other papers use the same notation, how our paper compares with them, etc… submitted by /u/OutsideSimple4854 [link] [留言]

2026-08-09 原文 →
AI 资讯

ICDE Results [D]

Hello! Let's use this thread to discuss ICDE results which should be coming out shortly today (hopefully). Edit: Results are out! submitted by /u/mythrowaway0852 [link] [留言]

2026-08-09 原文 →
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Why AI Applications Should Submit Workloads, Not Select GPUs

A developer is building an AI application that needs to run a GPU-backed inference job. The first implementation looks straightforward: # Simplified example provider = CloudGPUProvider ( api_key = API_KEY ) instance = provider . launch_instance ( region = " us-east " , instance_type = " gpu.large " , gpu_model = " specific-gpu-model " , image = " registry.example.com/inference:v1 " , ) provider . run_command ( instance_id = instance . id , command = " python inference.py --input /data/request.json " , ) It works. Then the selected region runs out of capacity. The developer adds another region. The second region does not offer the same instance type, so the application needs a hardware-specific branch. Another provider has available GPUs, but its API uses a different lifecycle model. One provider expects the application to manage virtual machines. Another starts containers directly. A third exposes jobs, but returns logs and artifacts through separate services. The original inference feature gradually becomes an infrastructure orchestration system. Application code now contains: Provider credentials Region-selection logic GPU-model mappings Capacity checks Instance lifecycle management Startup polling Retry rules Fallback providers Log collection Artifact retrieval Cleanup procedures The application began with a business requirement: Run this AI workload. It ended with infrastructure-specific code describing exactly where and how the workload should run. That is the wrong abstraction. AI applications should describe the workload they need executed. An infrastructure layer should decide how to satisfy that request. Instead of saying: Launch this exact GPU instance from this exact provider. Applications should be able to say: Execute this workload with these runtime, memory, latency, compatibility, and cost constraints. That shift—from instance provisioning to AI workload execution —removes infrastructure decisions from the application without pretending that hardware

2026-08-08 原文 →